Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.005372 0.005675 0.005988 0.006337 0.006716 0.007116 0.007570
2025-12-21 0.004717 0.005140 0.005596 0.006130 0.006739 0.007417 0.008232
2025-12-28 0.004423 0.004922 0.005478 0.006150 0.006945 0.007864 0.009021
2026-01-04 0.004234 0.004792 0.005430 0.006222 0.007189 0.008347 0.009861
2026-01-11 0.004019 0.004610 0.005300 0.006176 0.007272 0.008623 0.010448
2026-01-18 0.003854 0.004474 0.005210 0.006163 0.007385 0.008930 0.011084
2026-01-25 0.003691 0.004328 0.005097 0.006109 0.007433 0.009148 0.011607
2026-02-01 0.003628 0.004301 0.005125 0.006231 0.007710 0.009676 0.012588
2026-02-08 0.003507 0.004193 0.005045 0.006205 0.007785 0.009931 0.013195
2026-02-15 0.003406 0.004106 0.004985 0.006200 0.007884 0.010219 0.013866
2026-02-22 0.003281 0.003981 0.004870 0.006112 0.007861 0.010329 0.014272
2026-03-01 0.003169 0.003869 0.004766 0.006035 0.007845 0.010444 0.014690
2026-03-08 0.003087 0.003795 0.004712 0.006024 0.007926 0.010709 0.015371
2026-03-15 0.002943 0.003633 0.004533 0.005831 0.007732 0.010548 0.015345
2026-03-22 0.002884 0.003584 0.004504 0.005849 0.007848 0.010866 0.016139
2026-03-29 0.002847 0.003562 0.004511 0.005917 0.008039 0.011311 0.017191
2026-04-05 0.002774 0.003488 0.004445 0.005874 0.008058 0.011480 0.017767
2026-04-12 0.002716 0.003433 0.004401 0.005862 0.008125 0.011728 0.018506
2026-04-19 0.002649 0.003363 0.004334 0.005812 0.008126 0.011867 0.019052
2026-04-26 0.002637 0.003369 0.004375 0.005925 0.008393 0.012469 0.020544
2026-05-03 0.002583 0.003315 0.004327 0.005901 0.008435 0.012686 0.021296
2026-05-10 0.002538 0.003271 0.004293 0.005896 0.008508 0.012958 0.022189
2026-05-17 0.002472 0.003197 0.004212 0.005815 0.008449 0.012992 0.022580